Milan vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
31%
31%
38%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 2
SSS
69%
22%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
3 - 2
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ARZ
0 - 0
USF
60%
20%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
USC
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
21%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PAG
68%
17%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |