Milan U19 vs Varese Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAG
0 - 1
MIL
15%
19%
67%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
4 - 1
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 2
CHI
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PES
3 - 3
MIL
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATA
4 - 2
MIL
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Varese Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 3
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIR
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAG
4 - 1
VAR
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |