Milan U19 vs Perugia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 6
MIL
9%
14%
78%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
UDI
3 - 3
MIL
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 3
MIL
16%
20%
65%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 1
CES
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 0
SAS
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
UDI
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAG
2 - 2
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 3
VER
31%
24%
45%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 2
PER
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PER
0 - 4
ATA
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |