Milan U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
CIT
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 3
UDI
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 2
ATA
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 0
MIL
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 1
VER
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
MOD
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 5
PRO
26%
23%
52%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOD
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 2
BOL
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
5 - 0
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |