Milan U19 vs Brescia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 1
MIL
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MIL
5 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 1
SPA
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
MIL
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 2
MIL
18%
19%
63%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MIL
5 - 0
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 2
VEN
48%
20%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
BRE
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
UDI
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 4
BRE
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |