Mika vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIK
16%
21%
62%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
MIK
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 3
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
GAN
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
3 - 1
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
SYU
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
PYU
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |