Mika vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
MIK
16%
21%
62%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
3 - 1
MIK
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 3
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 1
GAN
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
3 - 1
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
SYU
18%
22%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
PYU
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |