Mika vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
5 - 0
MIK
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ONO
1 - 0
MIK
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MIK
0 - 0
ARA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIK
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
46%
23%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LER
4 - 0
ONO
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 4
LER
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LER
3 - 0
ARA
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
LER
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
LER
4 - 1
SYU
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |