Mika vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PYU
0 - 1
MIK
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIK
1 - 0
BAN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MIK
1 - 0
ARA
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 1
MIK
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 1
SHI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
3 - 0
IMP
37%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
PYU
4 - 2
GAN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 1
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ULI
0 - 2
GAN
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |