Mika vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
MIK
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
GAN
0 - 3
MIK
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MIK
3 - 1
SHI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
MIK
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MIK
2 - 0
GAN
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
ULI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 3
ARA
69%
18%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 6
BAN
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SHI
3 - 2
ARA
68%
20%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |