Mika vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 1
MIK
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GAN
2 - 3
MIK
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 1
MIK
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MIK
3 - 2
PYU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
SHI
15%
23%
63%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GAN
0 - 0
ARA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PYU
6 - 0
ARA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 3
BAN
16%
25%
59%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ULI
3 - 1
ARA
73%
19%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |