Mika vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 2
MIK
39%
29%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 1
MIK
21%
25%
53%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MIK
3 - 1
PYU
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PYU
0 - 0
MIK
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 0
PYU
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
ULI
19%
24%
56%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ULI
3 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 3
SHI
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PYU
1 - 0
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |