Mika vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
23
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIK
1 - 1
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 1
MIK
40%
23%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 0
MIK
45%
24%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
MIK
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 5
GAN
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 2
SYU
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 2
ALA
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |