Miguelense vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEO
1 - 0
MIG
73%
17%
10%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRB
4 - 0
MIG
88%
10%
2%
|
7 | 65 | 58 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 2
COR
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 2
ASA
10%
18%
73%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 3
CSA
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
PEN
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SSS
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |