Miguelense vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
MIG
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MIG
1 - 2
SSS
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
5 - 1
MIG
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 2
CEO
10%
16%
73%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
MIG
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 2
CSE
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 1
COR
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SSS
3 - 3
CSE
20%
23%
58%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CSE
0 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
CSE
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |