Miguel Rua-Don Bosco vs Maravillas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Rua-Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CCO
5 - 4
MRD
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MRD
1 - 3
VIO
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EIR
3 - 4
MRD
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MRD
3 - 3
PRE
67%
17%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
MRD
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Maravillas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
EIR
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAR
43%
22%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIO
4 - 2
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CCO
1 - 4
MAR
44%
21%
36%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPO
24%
19%
57%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |