Copa Peru Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-5
Miguel Grau vs UCV Moquegua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
2 - 1
GRA
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
6 - 0
STI
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
GRA
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
1 - 0
GRA
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
2 - 1
GRA
19%
19%
62%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DTA
1 - 2
UCV
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
1 - 1
DTA
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |