Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 6-3
Miguel Grau vs Sociedad de Tiro 28 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
GRA
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
1 - 0
GRA
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sociedad de Tiro 28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
GRA
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
CEA
6%
16%
79%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 0
STI
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
ECO
5%
15%
80%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
STI
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |