Miguel Grau vs Municipal Challhuahuacho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 2
VRA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 0
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
AFC
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Challhuahuacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |