Miguel Grau vs Defensor Cubillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 2
VRA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 0
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Defensor Cubillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DCE
2 - 1
JIN
46%
24%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
DCE
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
DCE
32%
21%
47%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
6 - 2
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |