Miguel Esteban AD vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+209%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LAS
2 - 1
MES
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
MES
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MES
1 - 2
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MCR
0 - 3
MES
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MES
1 - 1
CDB
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MCR
1 - 3
VIL
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
CDB
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LME
1 - 2
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
MEM
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |