Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miedz Legnica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MIE
2 - 0
GOR
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MIE
2 - 1
DOL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
MIE
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MIE
4 - 0
ENE
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
TKP
1 - 1
MIE
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ARK
3 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
RUC
0 - 4
POL
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 5
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |