Midtjylland vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
3º
6º
3º
58
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
58 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
63 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MID
3 - 0
VEJ
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 1
MID
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
FCK
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 3
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 0
MID
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 3
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
RAN
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HVI
1 - 2
FCN
13%
22%
65%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 1
SIF
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |