Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 1
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MID
7 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 4
MID
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
MID
1 - 4
AAB
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MID
5 - 1
VFF
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
RSL
1 - 0
FFK
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
FFK
3 - 0
ELF
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 1
FFK
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FFK
3 - 2
KVI
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GÖT
3 - 4
FFK
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |