Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Midtjylland vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
AAB
3 - 0
MID
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
OBK
2 - 1
MID
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
RAN
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 2
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MID
3 - 1
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 0
YOB
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
YOB
4 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
YOB
3 - 0
KAL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
YOB
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 0
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |