Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
1º
28
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SON
3 - 2
MID
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BIF
2 - 0
MID
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 2
MID
27%
23%
51%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
VFF
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BIF
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
AGF
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFF
1 - 1
AGF
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 2
RAN
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 2
AGF
12%
19%
69%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |