Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
1º
36
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
MID
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 0
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MID
3 - 3
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MID
0 - 1
BIF
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MID
5 - 1
OMO
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 1
AGF
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 2
SIF
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HVI
0 - 2
AGF
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
BRU
14%
21%
64%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |