Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 3
MID
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ESB
2 - 0
MID
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
MID
1 - 3
LOK
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MID
2 - 1
OBK
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LYN
1 - 2
MID
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
THI
0 - 2
AGF
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AGF
1 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RAN
0 - 1
AGF
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
VFF
2 - 0
AGF
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
AGF
0 - 0
LYN
45%
24%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |