Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ESB
2 - 0
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
MID
1 - 2
OBK
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MID
2 - 2
SON
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACH
3 - 4
MID
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
SIF
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AGF
1 - 1
SON
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
AGF
2 - 0
SIF
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
AGF
1 - 3
FCN
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |