Midland vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DOC
2 - 0
MID
47%
27%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
MID
0 - 1
SAC
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CCO
1 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MID
1 - 2
ARQ
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SMG
2 - 1
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
ITA
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
DOC
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
MER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
CCO
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARQ
1 - 1
MER
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |