Midland vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
MID
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
EXC
34%
29%
37%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CCO
4 - 0
MID
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TAL
2 - 1
MID
72%
19%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARQ
3 - 0
SAC
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JUU
1 - 1
ARQ
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARQ
5 - 2
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
STM
0 - 0
ARQ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |