Primera C Metro. Ascenso Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Midland vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
CLA
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
CCO
54%
25%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
MID
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
MID
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 0
LAF
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 4
ARM
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ARM
0 - 1
LAF
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ARM
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ARM
4 - 1
VIC
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |