Midland vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
MID
65%
21%
15%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
MID
1 - 2
EXC
44%
28%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 1
MID
52%
26%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
MID
1 - 2
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
MID
58%
24%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
MER
21%
25%
54%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CCO
4 - 1
ARM
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
MID
58%
24%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 4
ARM
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
ARM
3 - 0
JUU
54%
25%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |