Midland vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
DOC
3 - 4
MID
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
MID
0 - 1
ITA
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
TAL
42%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
JJU
0 - 0
MID
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 0
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
ARM
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
LUJ
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
ARM
41%
28%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 0
CAM
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |