Middlesbrough U21 vs Aston Villa U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
MID
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
30%
20%
50%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MID
2 - 4
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
SOU
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
5 - 7
MID
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
6 - 4
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
AVI
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 0
STC
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
0 - 4
AVI
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |