Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MID
2 - 2
STO
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 2
MID
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MID
0 - 4
MCI
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MID
2 - 0
WBA
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 0
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DER
0 - 3
BLA
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STO
2 - 2
DER
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 2
DER
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |