Middlesbrough vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
MID
0 - 1
WHU
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
BHA
1 - 0
MID
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
OXF
3 - 1
MID
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
BOU
2 - 2
MID
50%
27%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
MID
2 - 0
OPA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 0
LEE
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
WOL
1 - 1
WAT
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 1
SUN
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |