Middlesbrough vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
QPR
5 - 0
MID
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
NTT
4 - 0
MID
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
CRE
82%
13%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
MID
3 - 1
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
MID
2 - 0
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
SWI
0 - 1
OPA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 0
SWI
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 3
MAC
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
SWI
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
TRA
3 - 0
SWI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |