Middlesbrough vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 0
MID
11%
16%
72%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DON
3 - 5
MID
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GAT
0 - 1
MID
10%
16%
74%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MID
3 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SWA
0 - 1
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
SWA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 4
SWA
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 0
ROT
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 0
STO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |