Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
TOT
0 - 0
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
DER
0 - 0
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
MID
1 - 0
COV
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
BRI
4 - 1
SUN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 0
LEI
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
STO
0 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
OPA
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |