Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
MID
2 - 2
STO
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
CHA
3 - 4
MID
58%
20%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
MID
2 - 1
ROT
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
BCF
1 - 0
MID
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
MID
4 - 3
SCU
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
HUR
0 - 3
SUN
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1962 |
SUN
3 - 2
BBU
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
OPA
3 - 1
SUN
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
SUN
2 - 1
OPA
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |