Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 3
MID
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 3
SUN
31%
24%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 2
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |