Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
GRI
0 - 2
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
LEE
0 - 1
MID
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
CHA
3 - 0
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
MID
2 - 2
PNE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1939 |
BBU
1 - 0
SUN
48%
22%
31%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1939 |
BBU
0 - 0
SUN
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
SUN
1 - 1
BBU
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |