Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
CHL
4 - 0
MID
35%
24%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
MID
3 - 1
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 2
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
MID
2 - 2
WHU
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1930 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1930 |
LEE
0 - 3
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 4
BPO
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
BBU
3 - 0
SUN
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
DER
4 - 1
SUN
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |