Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
DER
2 - 1
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1928 |
MID
2 - 2
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
OPA
4 - 1
MID
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
2 - 4
MID
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 3
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 1
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
5 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 0
BBU
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |