Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
MAC
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
SHE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 4
ASV
52%
22%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1922 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |