Middlesbrough vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
6 - 0
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1913 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 3
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
PNE
2 - 2
SUN
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |