Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
25%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
0 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SWA
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
WBA
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 0
STO
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 2
STO
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
COV
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
AZA
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |