Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
MID
2 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
LEE
1 - 1
MID
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1997 |
BBU
0 - 0
MID
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1997 |
MUD
3 - 3
MID
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
WBA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
SHE
1 - 0
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |