Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 1
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1975 |
MID
2 - 0
BIR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
MID
1 - 0
WOL
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
TOT
1 - 0
MID
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
STO
0 - 1
MUD
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ARS
0 - 1
STO
46%
28%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
STO
2 - 2
WOL
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
STO
1 - 2
WHU
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |