Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
PNE
3 - 0
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1953 |
MID
2 - 2
SHW
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
MID
0 - 4
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
TOT
7 - 1
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
MID
2 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
STO
3 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 0
STO
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
STO
1 - 1
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
MAC
2 - 1
STO
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
STO
4 - 0
BPO
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |